In 25Q3 AKAnomics highlighted 45 companies with significant disconnect from consensus, out of the 140 US Industrials/Materials/Consumer Discretionary names it tracks. With 25Q3 earnings season wrapping up with a majority of those 140 companies having announced their results, AKAnomics estimates were on the right side of consensus for 33 of the 45 names (73% hit rate). The higher the hit rate, the stronger is the forward returns characteristics (see blog ) , and positioning signals for...

AKAnomics  delivers Revenue Nowcasting estimates for US Industrials and Materials names to fundamental and quantitative hedge funds. A question persistent on investors’ minds is whether the economy is showing signs of strain from tariffs, inflation, and demand. Based on our real-time analysis of 6000+ macro data from around the world, AKAnomics  data indicates that 25Q3 organic revenue growth for this group is holding up well, slightly better than 25Q2 driven by improving growth in European...

AKAnomics delivers Revenue Nowcasting estimates to both fundamental and quantitative hedge funds. A natural question asked by “quant” funds is if AKAnomics signals can be defensibly combined with other quant signals to further improve risk-adjusted returns. We believe that Mean-Reversion is one such signal. It makes sense to us that if a company’s price has recently gone up significantly (from its historical average), then a positive expectation for revenue surprise is unlikely to deliver as...