AKAnomics 25Q3 Nowcasting Performance

In 25Q3 AKAnomics highlighted 45 companies with significant disconnect from consensus, out of the 140 US Industrials/Materials/Consumer Discretionary names it tracks. With 25Q3 earnings season wrapping up with a majority of those 140 companies having announced their results, AKAnomics estimates were on the right side of consensus for 33 of the 45 names (73% hit rate).

The higher the hit rate, the stronger is the forward returns characteristics (see blog), and positioning signals for systematic and discretionary investors. With this quarter's strong outcome, we have now demonstrated a strong 69%-79% hit rate characteristic from our economic-data driven equity Nowcasting results over the last 7 quarters of live data.

Please reach out at info@akanomics.com if you would like to learn more about our coverage and process.